Last week I conquered the points spread in a big way, taking Washington +7 over the Cowboys, Cleveland -1 over the Jaguars (random guessing, and barely won the bet), and my big money bet was.........Oakland +2.5 over the Vikings. That was the best feeling I had about a game in a long time, and it didn't disappoint: The Raiders dominated that game from start to finish.
I've been watching a lot.......LOT OF NFL Rewind, so I have some in-depth knowledge on these teams (I hope).
Chicago +3 at Oakland.......The Bears have covered the spread a LOT during their 5-game winning streak, yet they continuously get disrespected. Sure, Caleb Hanie is a downgrade from Cutler, but this team was built on Defense, Special teams, and running the football anyway. Watch for that to continue, especially against Carson Palmer without his fancy tools (McFadden, Denarious Moore, Jacoby Ford). Chicago has at least a 50-50 shot at winning this game, which is why you take the points.
Cleveland +7 at Cincinnati: Throw out the records when these 2 teams get together. Cleveland plays teams tough and should continue to do so here; feels like a let-down game for the Bengals after 2 brutal matchups against tough division opponents.
Carolina -3.5 at Indianapolis: You simply cannot take a team that is trying to lose. Seriously, a win is a loss for them, so if you give ANY credence to that theory whatsoever, you gotta take the Panthers.
Seattle -3 at Washington: Lovin' the Seahawks at home against an inferior team. What are the oddsmakers thinking? Marshawn Lynch is consistently in Beast Mode," especially at home, and the magical healing powers of Seattle somehow transform them into an above-average football team. And Redskins coming off OT game traveling to the Pacific Northwest. Gimme the Hawks, over and over again.
New England -3.5 at Philadelphia: No Vick, No Jeremy Maclin, probably no Nmadi Asomugha, and Tom Brady is still alive and playing in this game? For some reason Vegas this year constantly, constantly believes in an Eagles comeback....they might stop harboring this notion after this demolishing.
Pittsburgh -10.5 at Kansas City: The "Home Dog" factor gets cancelled out here by the "Tyler Palko Sucks" factor. See the Steelers piling on and rolling by more than 2 TD's.
Atlanta -9.5 v. Minnesota: Christian Ponder, Boy Wonder? That myth has pretty much been debunked the last 2 weeks, and AP now officially declared out. Falcons smell a playoff spot and aren't going to let this one get away at home.
Jacksonville +6.5 v. Houston: call me crazy, but like the home dog here. If I were physically in Vegas, I'd try to get a +7 line out of this, but take what you can get v. Matt Leinart. Bet heavy against him.
Giants +7 at New Orleans: Betting on another "Dr. Jekyll" week as opposed to Mr. Hyde.
NYJ -9.5 v. Buffalo: Buffalo is DONNNNNNNNNEEEEE. Should be quitting if down at half.
San Diego -5.5 v. Denver: Sigh. One last hurrah for the Chargers?
St. Louis -2.5 v. Arizona: Hate picking this game. Throw a coin in the air; heads are the Rams, tails are the Cardinals.
Fantasize on,
Robert Yan
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