Friday, October 22, 2010

Week 7 picks


After an amazing 10-3-1 record (the Indy-Washington game pushed cuz Indy won by exactly 3) last week picking games AGAINST THE SPREAD, Da Man is now a whopping 18-9-1 on the season picking games. That'll make you money anywhere you bet it, folks. That's why I'm starting to call my picks "Guru's Gutsy Guesses." Making it a tradition.

Gotta admit, it feels good to be winning your picks against the spread. No lie, at one point LATE in the noon games last week, I was right on ALL of my picks. There were NINE games going on, and I had them ALL correct, it was like 12:45PM Pacific time, 2 hours 45 minutes into the games. Then Pittsburgh scored easily on another exclamation-point touchdown, and New England tied Baltimore to go to overtime and eventually won it on a FG, so I lost those. But woooo, imagine that! A nine-game parlay pays out something ridiculous like $100,000 on a $100 bet, imagine if I woulda parlayed that! (In parlays, you need to win ALL your games to actually win......if any of your 9 bets, let's say, loses, you lose).

Regardless, You should be betting (not advocating that, but if you are, this is the site you should be following) with the Guru's Gutsy Guesses cuz the Guru's hot. Here's the picks this week:


1.) Pittsburgh -3 at Miami: Like I said last week about the Miami Defense, I doubt the iron gladiators of Pittsburgh care whether they're at home or away, so basically this game boils down to who's better. As great as Miami looked last week upsetting the Packers in Green Bay (and covering for the Guru), they're not as good as Pittsburgh, who's a title contender.
Pick: Pittsburgh

2.) Atlanta -3.5 v. Cincinatti: The problem with the Bengals is like a lot of fantasy teams: Lotsa big names, not necessarily the best team. As bad as Atlanta looked against Philly, they'll be hungry at home and the defense will be opportunistic against turnover-prone Cincy.
Pick: Atlanta.

3.) Kansas City -9.5 v. Jacksonville: I'm reluctant to take anybody while laying so many points, but KC is DEFINITELY a team that feeds off its home crowd's energy, they should get 5 points for home field, not just the usual 3. Who is Todd Baumann and how many times will he get sacked by the KC D? Jaguars seem like prime candidate to lose BIG.....they do it all the time.

4.) Tennessee -3 v. Philadelphia: Toughest game for me so far to handicap......Titans coming off Monda night game, lost Vince Young, facing a really pretty good Philly team.....basically a coin flip, these two teams about the same talent-wise, also have solid coaches leading them. This is where the "gutsy" part of "Guru's Gutsy Guesses" comes into play.

5.) Washington +3 at Bears: Washington. Is. Good. Bears. Are. Struggling. I hate to say it but it's true.

6.) Saints -13 v. Browns: Saints got one last shot from the Man last week, and they responded by a 20+ point drubbing on the road. Looks like it's all board the Saints Train for awhile now.

7.) Bills +13 at Baltimore: The Ravens have a bad habit of playing down to the competition, and that looks especially true after an emotionally draining loss last week. And I do like that Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, he looks smart enough not to throw (too many) picks (or pick-6's).

8.) 49ers -3 at Carolina: The "Copy Colin Cowherd" pick of the week....this was a lock for Colin, and I saw no one I was taking the Panthers......Carolina might be one of the most atrocious teams in NFL history, Niners a middle-of-the-pack team, record-aside. And Matt Moore at QB? Phew, good luck.

9.) Bucs -3 vs. Rams: For the Rams, another let-down liability for a young team coming off a huge win over the Chargers.......same situation as the @ Lions game 2 weeks ago. The Bucs are PISSED.

10.) Arizona +6.5 at Seattle: The Seahawks getting much love this week and are very trendy, I'm gonna go contrarian on this; something tells me this game comes down to a late-second field goal. Don't let the road win in Chicago fool you; do not put all your eggs in the Seahawks basket.

11.) San Diego -2.5 v. New England. I woulda thought this line woulda been around "pick'em" or even favoring NE, but I guess most people understand how talented the Chargers are. In a dire situation at home, the Chargers finally, FINALLY, start their turnaround.

12.) Oakland +8 at Denver: This line was 7 at the beginning of the week, swung to 8 probably cuz of uncertainty of Raiders QB situation. Monitor this one: I can't believe I'm saying this, but if Bruce Gradkowski plays, I'm sure of this pick. If not, I'd stay away.

13.) Minnesota +2.5 at Green Bay: Packers are in deep, deep trouble. This game may be the straw that broke the camels' back.

14.) Dallas -3 v. NY Giants: Does desperation breed success? Regardless, I believe it'll be a shootout in Dallas, and the Cowboys have just a few more weapons.

Fantasize on,

Robert Yan

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